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川普自評經濟A+++++民調僅39% "愛麗絲vs.老鼠人"美中都有難題?(2025/12/18)

·29 min·2 clips
What do 'mouse people' in China and 'Alice' in the US reveal about hidden economic crises facing both superpowers?
Host Peng Ju opens by introducing the viral social media terms 'mouse people' in China and 'Alice' in the US, describing populations struggling economically and vulnerable to shocks. The episode focuses on Trump's 18-minute national address, where he claimed economic successes like falling egg and turkey prices, wage growth outpacing inflation, and record employment. Expert Zhu Yuezhong notes the speech's odd timing—11 months into office, not an anniversary—and its delivery at double his normal speaking speed, suggesting urgency. Zhu highlights that Trump's chief of staff, Susie Wiles, prompted the speech, likely due to declining polls. Fact-checking by media like The New York Times found numerous errors, such as exaggerating turkey price drops from 16% to 33% and ignoring rising unemployment. A key moment reveals Fox News polling shows Trump's approval at only 44%, with a 12-point gap against him, indicating the speech backfired. The discussion shifts to underlying economic issues: US electricity prices surged up to 37% in some states, leading to disconnections, and 5% of households cannot pay bills. Lu Xinchang explains AI investments are causing layoffs in replaceable jobs like clerical work, while skilled AI management roles remain unfilled, worsening employment. Trump's policies, like tariff reductions on essentials after backlash, show political pressure. The 'Alice' group in the US, defined as asset-limited but employed, faces poverty risks if inflation or illness strikes, with official poverty lines outdated. In China, 'mouse people' avoid social interaction and consumption, reflecting economic despair. Xi Jinping's recent admission of policy errors, such as overdevelopment and 'checkbook economics', is noted as a rare move. Experts discuss China's shift from export reliance to boosting domestic consumption, with potential yuan revaluation. The episode concludes by linking both nations' economic anxieties to global stability, emphasizing how data often masks public discontent.
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