Golf Gambling Podcast · Sports Gambling Podcast Network

2026 American Express Bets | Golf Gambling Podcast (Ep. 553)

·26 min·1 clip

Davis Thompson has three starts, three made cuts, and nearly beat Jon Rahm here in his debut.

The card starts at the top. They open with Ludwig, treat him as one of the clear young names on the board, and expect him to keep contending if the putter holds up. The price matters. They say they expected something around 18 or 19 before the odds came out, and were happy to see him at 20 to 25 to 1. Cantlay draws interest too. At 28 to 1, the number feels generous for a player with that kind of profile, so he quickly enters the conversation. The middle gets thinner. Fitzpatrick comes up as a candidate, but the fit is tied to harder conditions and there is real skepticism about whether he can make enough birdies in a softer, scoring-friendly week. That matters here. They keep coming back to the idea that this event can turn into a birdie race, so pure ball striking alone does not solve every card. Harry Hall enters the mix. He is treated as an interesting option, but not one that displaces the top names. The build philosophy stays aggressive. They describe a typical AmEx approach as one strong play followed by a long string of mega bombs, often starting in the 15-to-12-to-1 range and then dropping to 100-to-1 darts. That is the shape. The logic is that this tournament often rewards a big name or an outsider rather than a crowded middle tier. The show keeps circling back to recent form and upside, and whether the market has caught up too fast or not fast enough. The tone stays practical throughout. It ends as a straightforward betting board discussion for anyone trying to place a card before the week starts.

As heard by us

A focused AmEx betting discussion built around Ludwig, Cantlay, and a clear search for the right longshot.

The episode keeps the American Express card discussion tightly centered on a choice between trusting Ludwig at the top or chasing a bomb, which gives the whole segment a clear line of argument.

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Why you'd press play

Ludwig leads the card, and the rest is a hunt for price.

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