PODCAST PREMIUM DIARIO DE MERCADOS Viernes 30 Enero 2026

·29 min·2 clips

Gold hit a record above $5,600 per ounce then crashed to $5,164 in the most volatile session since April 2013, while the silver ETF ballooned from $2 billion to $40 billion in AUM.

1. Diario de Mercados covers global financial markets on Friday January 30, with the US increasingly isolated as the EU signs a trade deal with India and China deepens ties with the UK. 2. The host presents solo as a fundamental analyst at Alphavalio, framing the episode around a central argument that Trump's aggressive tariff policy and diplomatic failures will cost the US allies in the medium term. 3. The core thesis is that persistent market anxiety is driving extreme volatility across gold, silver, and tech stocks, even as underlying corporate results remain broadly positive. 4. Gold rallied above $5,600 per ounce before crashing to $5,164, its most volatile session since April 2013, with silver touching $118.47 before settling at $108.48. 5. The silver ETF grew from $2 billion to $40 billion in assets under management — nearly matching the S&P 500 ETF's size — which the host says is causing increasingly abrupt price swings. 6. Copper hit 14,000 dollars per tonne for the first time in history and remained elevated, while aluminum reached its highest price in four years. 7. Apple posted Q4 income growth of 16%, iPhone revenue of $85.27 billion (up 23%), and China revenue of $25.53 billion (up 38%), all beating analyst estimates and with gross margin growing 19%. 8. Despite Apple's strong results, shares were bidding only +0.5% because Nasdaq futures were falling more than 1%, which the host attributes to the absence of market momentum for the stock. 9. Microsoft fell roughly 10% on its results, which the host calls an overreaction — the company was in line at the sales and operating level, with the main weakness being Azure cloud costs and AI investment doubts. 10. Meta Platform rose 10.4% after strong quarterly results published the previous evening, in contrast to Microsoft's sell-off. 11. Visa reported net income of $10.90 billion (up 15%, beating estimates), though operating expenses exceeded forecasts at $4.16 billion. 12. Royal Caribbean rose 18.65% after reporting strong Q4 cruise figures: income up 13%, near-full occupancy, and 2026 annual guidance above consensus. 13. Honeywell International rose 4.89% with organic revenue growth of 11% versus an 8.36% estimate, driven by industrial automation and energy sustainability solutions. 14. Valero Energy rose approximately 3.5% on better-than-expected refinery results, with the Gulf Coast refinery margin up 64% and operating cash flow up 92%. 15. The Atlanta Federal Reserve drastically cut its Q4 GDP growth estimate from 5.4% to 4.2%, moving closer to the host's own predictions. 16. The US trade deficit surged 94.6% month-over-month in November, breaking a declining trend, which the host links to the broader uncertainty around tariff policy. 17. The host's format is fast-moving and editorializing — mixing macro, earnings commentary, and political analysis — with a Friday sign-off tone. 18. The episode covers both US and European earnings in rapid-fire sequence, including Adidas (+3.75%), CaixaBank (+3.3%), and Electrolux (+19%). 19. Best suited for Spanish-speaking investors who track both US and European equities and want a compact Friday earnings digest with market context. 20. Listeners seeking deep analysis of individual stocks or neutral geopolitical commentary will find the format too broad and too opinionated.

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